Yufan Wei
Research

CausalWM: Causal Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Embodied World Model

A 16B embodied world model that makes physical reasoning explicit — predicting optical flow, then 3D pointmaps, then future video, with each step reused as context for the next. Top-1 on the TriWorldBench leaderboard.

391 words
2 minutes

Now available on arXiv.

Abstract#

Embodied world models learn to predict future physical dynamics from visual observations and control signals, where physical knowledge is implicitly entangled within latent representations. We introduce CausalWM, a 16B embodied world model that performs explicit causal chain-of-thought reasoning before future video prediction. CausalWM organizes useful variables into a reasoning trajectory, allowing the model to progressively capture causal dependencies underlying physical evolution. To train CausalWM, we collect 31K hours embodied data and develop a three-stage paradigm consisting of large-scale video pre-training, causal CoT mid-training, and multi-objective RL post-training. Despite using only a limited set of supervised CoT variables, CausalWM exhibits emergent in-context learning capabilities, enabling contextual visual feature guidance and efficient few-step generation. CausalWM achieves state-of-the-art performance across language-conditioned, action-conditioned, single-view and multi-view benchmarks, including Top-1 performance on TriWorldBench leaderboard.

CausalWM vs. direct future prediction: the causal reasoning chain (optical flow → pointmaps → RGB) outperforms direct prediction, scoring 66.04 on TriWorldBench and 89.9 on the PAI-Bench robot domain.

TL;DR#

Embodied world models predict future physical dynamics from visual observations and control signals, but their physical knowledge is implicitly entangled in latent representations. CausalWM instead performs explicit causal chain-of-thought reasoning before predicting the future: it predicts optical flow, then 3D pointmaps, then future RGB video — reusing each completed prediction as context for the next (O → F → P → V).

The whole chain runs on one shared diffusion Transformer: causal attention blocks information from later stages from leaking backward, while attention within each stream stays bidirectional. Despite being supervised with only a limited set of CoT variables, the model shows emergent in-context learning — it can even generate the future in one denoising step per stage (3 steps total), at 5.16× the speed of the full 20/20/20 schedule.

Training#

A three-stage paradigm on ~31K hours of embodied data (curated to ~20K hours of interaction experience across 20 source families: human egocentric video, real robots, and simulation):

  1. Large-scale video pre-training
  2. Causal CoT mid-training
  3. Multi-objective RL post-training

Results#

  • #1 of 36 models on the TriWorldBench leaderboard (66.04 TWB-Score), with 2 first-place and 5 second-place finishes across the 19 official metrics.
  • State-of-the-art 89.9 RO score on the PAI-Bench language-conditioned robot domain.
  • Language instructions and robot actions provide complementary ways to steer the imagined future.

The CausalWM framework: visual context and multimodal conditioning guide causal optical-flow, pointmap, and future-RGB prediction, with the three training stages and in-context control.

Next
Perseid Meteor Shower